Kamis, 23 Juli 2015

Free Ebook America's Secret War: Inside the Struggle Between the United States and Its Enemies

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America's Secret War: Inside the Struggle Between the United States and Its Enemies

America's Secret War: Inside the Struggle Between the United States and Its Enemies


America's Secret War: Inside the Struggle Between the United States and Its Enemies


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America's Secret War: Inside the Struggle Between the United States and Its Enemies

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Audible Audiobook

Listening Length: 13 hours and 48 minutes

Program Type: Audiobook

Version: Unabridged

Publisher: Blackstone Audio, Inc.

Audible.com Release Date: December 10, 2004

Whispersync for Voice: Ready

Language: English, English

ASIN: B000776JGU

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

Perfectly explains why the United States is still involved an a seemingly endless conflict in the Middle East in the year 2017, even though this book was published in 2004. George Friedman should be a household name with how well he articulates extremely complicated situations. If everyone read this book, or even if half of the media or politicians read this book, they would understand that the continued occupation will lead to nothing but more groups rising up to combat the United States. Everyone should give this book a chance to understand why US involvement in the Middle East will forever be a losing battle. That being said, this book is very unbiased and nothing but the facts of history. It is eerie how well he predicts the rise of groups more extreme than Al-Qaeda a decade before it happened.

After reading the first few chapters of this book, I was forced to change my mind about a number of things. Just one of them was the old question: "Did the United States finance Osama Bin Laden in Afghanistan?" For years, I gave the "Richard Miniter Answer": "No, the US only gave money to the Afghan nationals, not to the foreign Arab warriors." After reading Friedman, I tend to think that: Yes, this answer is "correct," but only if you fall for the window dressing. Saudi Arabia financed the Arab mujahideen, yes. But it did so while hand-in-glove with the USA: the two countries were allied in trying (successfully) to create a quagmire for the USSR. It began with the Peanut Farmer, and was intensified under Reagan. And it worked!The problem was that, typically enough, once the USSR collapsed, we "lost interest" in our former allies and simply abandoned them in Afghanistan. Of course, there may have been some not-so-subtle prodding from Arab regimes (such as Egypt, S.A., and Morocco) to do just that.Also VERY interesting: 9/11 was not really "all about America." The target was the Arab states just mentioned. Al Qaeda was attempting to provoke the United States into a massive attack on the Arab world as a whole, leading to a pan-Arab Islamic revolution in which the U.S. would simply have been a patsy.It didn't work. And understanding the strategy of Bin Laden and Al Qaeda, Bill Clinton suddenly seems a lot less "lackadaisical." Like all American presidents, he was stuck with a dilemma. If we don't do ANYTHING, Americans will hate us. If we attack the Arabs, we've just been played for suckers. Clinton chose an "in-between" strategy of "ineffective response."This book is a cram course in current geopolitics, and it is excellent. I would feel a lot more comfortable if the author were our National Security Advisor, or Secretary of State.The usual ending: "everyone should read this book." But with a special note: "especially the 'Truthers'." This book lays it all out in open view, and shows exactly how the 9/11 hijackers came mostly from Saudi Arabia, but did not represent the WILL of the Saudi Arabian government.No: they were trying to overthrow the Saudi Arabian government.As a result, one comes to view the attempted charitable gift of $10 million from a Saudi royal to NYC in a very different light. Mayor Rudy was "right" to follow his guts and refuse the gift, but, like almost everyone else, he did not understand what had just happened. The Saudi royal quite likely did, and so one of the strangest moments of modern history suddenly becomes a whole lot clearer.By the way, this book only takes the story to 2004, where the author quite rightly calls the war undecided, although looking bad for Al Qaeda. If you want the rest of the story, you'll need to look at a book like "The Gamble."One of the best books I have ever read!

I don't usually write reviews since most of my thoughts have been expressed already in prior reviews.With America's Secret War though, I felt extremely impressed by Friedman's inside knowledge on the subject and although one might think that a book written ten years ago is already old news, particularly on political issues, I felt very interested in understanding the whole under-the-water maneuvering in the Middle East.This is a compelling book for anyone with an interest in US international affairs, as well as anyone who want to have some understanding of the complex political issues on the Middle East and all its different moving parts.I read the book almost as if I was reading a Tom Clancy novel, the sad thing is that this is very real...

Read about the US war on Islamic terrorism as the mainstream press did not report it. This war, including the invasion of Iraq, made no sense to the US citizenry because the press did not choose to tell the real story - in great part because the goverment did not really tell the story. So the vaunted US press needs the government to tell it the story before it can report the real story. This is the back story of the war on terrorism in a depth and reality you never read in the New York Times.

Was there more to the War on Terror than was published in newspapers and on the Internet? George Friedman, author of The Next 100 Years and founder of Stratfor, a global forecasting firm, asserts in "America's Secret War" that in the past decade there was much behind-the-scenes maneuvering that escaped many analysts and American citizens.Friedman relates how the War on Terror had its roots in the Cold War and in the Desert Storm campaign of 1990-91. He looks at America's intelligence failures leading up to 9/11/01, September 11 and its aftermath, Russia's role in the counterattack on Afghanistan, and the conflict in Afghanistan itself.The author shows that in many wars the true reason for each side's actions are hidden, and offers his explanation for both Al Qaeda's attack on the United States and our invasion of Iraq. He recounts the events leading up to the invasion of Iraq and describes the Iraq campaign through 2004, when the book was published. Friedman maintains that, overall, Al Qaeda did not meet its central objectives and that, at the time of the book's publication, the War on Terror was going better for the U.S. than most analysts believed.

Like many Americans, I pay close attention to news, both print and broadcast, and thought I was pretty aware, and I was as far as the media and our government fed me information. Actually, my eyes were wide shut. George Friedman opens up a whole new manner of understanding geopolitics with his book "America's Secret War". It sounds like a conspiracy theory, but nothing could be further from the truth. This book explains the necessities that our competitors on the world stage (Russia, China, Brazil, etc.) must work from. He also explains our own needs. Anyone who has an interest in world politics (especially those in D.C.) needs to read this book.

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Selasa, 21 Juli 2015

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, by Martin Ford

Product details

File Size: 2581 KB

Print Length: 354 pages

Publisher: Basic Books (May 5, 2015)

Publication Date: May 5, 2015

Sold by: Hachette Book Group

Language: English

ASIN: B00PWX7RPG

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I have taught Artificial Intelligence (AI) for 3 decades at a major university. Until about 10 years ago, whenever someone worried about the effect of intelligent software/hardware destroying future jobs, I would always give my "buggy whip" argument, which goes like this:"When the automobile was invented it DID destroy many jobs. Makers of buggy whips and horse troughs were put out of business. But many more NEW jobs were created to replace those older jobs. Witness all the gas stations, auto mechanic shops, car factories, etc."About 8 years ago I lost faith in the buggy whip argument. I realized that, as the technology of AI advanced, a point would be reached in which intelligent software and general-purpose robots could perform all tasks (both mental and physical) that are currently achievable only by highly educated humans. Once one intelligent robot exists with a high level of general intelligence, it can be mass produced. There have been many advances in AI in recent years (in neural networks, planning and learning systems). Machine learning systems can now learn a number of complex cognitive tasks simply by observing the past performance of human experts.I have always been an admirer of the combination of modern capitalism and (relatively) free markets as the major drivers of wealth. However, modern capitalism (with its corporations, stock and dividends) is less than a few centuries old. There is no reason to believe that it must last forever. Its "reign" over older economic systems may well end abruptly in the near future.At one time I toyed with writing a book about my concerns regarding intelligent automation and its future effect on political and economic systems but Martin Ford has a done a 100-times better job that I could have ever done. His book is very persuasive in pointing out why the "buggy whip" argument will cease to remain persuasive.I only have two complaints about Ford's book: (a) the title sounds a bit too much like a title for a pulp-fiction work and so I fear that not enough people will read it and (b) the first 75 pages consist of a standard summary of current economic facts and principles and so I fear that some readers may quit reading his book before they get to the really interesting parts, which in my opinion, start after page 75.

Martin Ford is among the technologists who have warned that technology is and will increasingly displace human beings across all employment sectors. This phenomenon will threaten the structural foundation of our capitalist economies fueled by consumer spending (that accounts for close to 70% of GDP in the US).His vision regarding the exponential growth of technology (Big Data, Artificial Intelligence, Cloud computing, Internet and mobile apps, robots) is not all that different than the vision of Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee as they expressed within their own two books on the subject: “Race Against The Machine” and “The Second Machine.”Martin Ford puts more weight into what he calls the seven deadly trends:1) Stagnant wages;2) Declining share of GDP going to labor and rising share going to corporate profits;3) Declining labor force participation rate;4) Diminishing job creation, lengthening jobless recoveries, and soaring long-term unemployment;5) Soaring inequality;6) Declining incomes and underemployment for recent college graduates; and7) Polarization and part-time jobs.Brynjolfsson and McAfee also identified the same trends. It just that Martin Ford sees those trends as potentially irreversible meanwhile the two other authors do not. Consequently, how thetwo sets of authors greatly differ is in their hope for the future of human labor.Brynjolfsson and McAfee envision that humans have a fighting chance of eventually racing with the machine instead of against it. This means they view that ultimately digital automation could complement human labor instead of substituting it. They support their argument with an iconic example “freestyle chess.” In this new discipline teams of humans and computers team up in different ways to compete against each other. They have observed that the best freestyle chess teams are not stand-alone supercomputers who could easily beat Gary Kasparov; instead they are teams of mathematicians and engineers who have developed the rare skill of analyzing freestyle chess games while guiding simultaneously two or three laptops to run their adaptative Machine Learning algorithms. Brynjolfsson and McAfee advances that this represents a model for the labor force of the future on how to race with the machine. They advance that the collaboration between human intelligence and Artificial Intelligence (AI) will always be better (or at least for some time) than AI alone. By the same token they think that IBM Watson’s medical diagnostic abilities will be much improved when teamed up with expert doctors than on a stand-alone basis.Martin Ford views things very differently. He considers the whole example of freestyle chess less than convincing even over the short term. He thinks that it is just a matter of time before AI renders humans superfluous. He sees no reason why AI would not quickly become better than humans at analyzing freestyle chess games. Similarly, he thinks IBM Watson on a stand-alone basis may not need the expertise of doctors to render superior medical diagnoses absent of human bias, flaws, and errors. Remember the entire work of Phillip Tetlock on the poor performance of experts across all fields because of overconfidence. Regarding medicine, the superiority of AI on a stand-alone basis has already been demonstrated with radiologists. AI was a lot more accurate and a heck of a lot faster at interpreting X-rays than expert radiologists were.Given their positive outlook, Brynjolfsson and McAfee recommend we invest more in education focused on what they call “ideation.” The latter embodies intellectual curiosity, creativity, ability to come up with out of the box questions (some call it lateral thinking). They view those cognitive features as uniquely human.Martin Ford, on his part, thinks that such investment in education may be good to maintain the social fiber of our society. But, it is entirely futile in terms of rendering humans able to race with the machines. Contrary to what Brynjolfsson and McAfee states, machines are already very good at many elements of ideation, creativity, exploring different solutions, etc. Machines can also be genuinely artistically creative. He gives an example whereby complex algorithms can now create wonderful classic symphonies that are competitive with the best composers. They can make modern sculptures. They can also write a surprisingly wide variety of news articles on numerous subjects. Someone in the book indicated that in a near future nearly 90% of news articles could be written by robots.Martin Ford indicates that his concerns are not his alone. For a long time, leading minds have expressed such concerns. John Maynard Keynes stated back in 1930, that technology was likely to move faster than society’s ability to create new jobs for the displaced workers within just a few generations. In 1949, Norbert Wiener, a renowned MIT mathematician expressed similar concerns in a New York Times article. He stated “if we can do anything in a clear and intelligible way, we can do it by machine… [this will lead to] an industrial revolution of unmitigated cruelty [displacing human labor].” In 1964, a team of scientists and economists wrote a report for Lyndon Johnson called “The Triple Revolution.” One of those revolutions was titled the Cybernation Revolution. Within this report they reiterated the exact same concerns expressed by Keynes and Wiener. But, no one listened. Post WW II, the US economy was experiencing a long boom where technology created a rise in productivity, living standards, and overall economic growth at all levels (technology complemented labor and did not substitute for it). However, less than a decade after the Triple Revolution report was written in 1973 rising labor productivity became completely decoupled from stagnant wages and median household income. Brynjolfsson and McAfee also wrote extensively about this “decoupling” within their books and blogs. It is just that Martin Ford does not believe those decoupling trends can be easily reversed if at all.When it comes to overall recommendations, besides education, investing in infrastructure, increasing Government investment in science and basic research, Brynjolfsson and McAfee recommend a modest increase in the Earned Income Tax Credit to counter the impact of technology displacement on consumer spending. Meanwhile, they are both adamantly opposed to a Basic Guaranteed Income for all because of moral hazard (incentive not to work) and the deleterious effect of idleness on individuals and society at large. While Martin Ford does agree with some public investment in education, infrastructure, science and basic research, contrary to Brynjolfsson and McAfee, he strongly supports the implementation of a massive Basic Guaranteed Income for all (qualified individuals) of at least $10,000. He views this as inevitable since otherwise consumer spending will get wiped out due to technological unemployment. He is not worried about the moral hazard of lowering individuals incentive to work since there will be not enough work to be had anyway.Ultimately, Martin Ford in his analysis of the situation is much more convincing than Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee. Yet I thought both their books (“Race Against The Machine” and “The Second Machine”) were formidable. But, they both claimed to be technology-optimists. Their positive recommendations were the weakest part of their respective books. Martin Ford, on his part, comes across as a technology-objectivist. He calls a spade a spade. And, he makes no artificial bias effort to dilute his diagnostic by making hopeful recommendations that he does not consider realistic.There is just a remaining flaw in all these authors recommendation. And, that is that they all don’t fully factor or express the fiscal constraints (the US and other countries are under). The US fiscal position is already unsustainable. With the existing structure of social entitlements (very modest in scale vs. proposed Basic Guaranteed Income) the US prospective Budget Deficits are unsustainable. And, they lead to the US Debt/GDP ratio to nearly double from just under 80% currently to 150% by 2047 (CBO projection). Adding on an additional huge social entitlement (Basic Income) that would increase Federal Government spending by over 50% is just not realistic.The above does not detract much from the overall quality of these outstanding books, and especially of this one book reviewed.

I read a ton of books, and cite/excerpt/link them on my main blog (Blog.KHIT.org). Rarely have I encountered one as oddly enjoyable as this one. Amiably well-written, amply documented, throwing down clear logic, and plausible scenario conjectures (based on his -- always guarded -- interpretations of his broad and deep documentation).Humans seem to be sleepwalking into a future regarding which they are largely unprepared. Will we slide into a dystopian techno-neo-feudalism when the jobs largely evaporate across nearly all sectors, including the cognitive arena "knowledge worker" domains thought to be relatively bulletproof? We are all in this together -- much as our narcissistic one-tenth-of-one-percenters like to deny it. "Wealth" is a relative thing, much as they prefer to deny it.My initial interest in this book (based on an NPR interview I heard) was that of his take on health care (my area -- Health IT), which I will be writing up forthwith. But, the larger problem is equally if not moreso compelling. How will we all "earn our keep" if reliable employment diminishes by half or more, regardless of our skills and initiative? Are we headed for "Elysium"?Or worse?

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Kamis, 16 Juli 2015

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Mergers and Acquisitions: Law, Theory, and Practice (American Casebook Series)


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Mergers and Acquisitions: Law, Theory, and Practice (American Casebook Series)

Product details

Series: American Casebook Series

Hardcover: 837 pages

Publisher: West Academic Publishing; 1 edition (March 25, 2016)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 0314289062

ISBN-13: 978-0314289063

Product Dimensions:

10.3 x 1.5 x 8 inches

Shipping Weight: 0.8 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

5.0 out of 5 stars

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Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#925,377 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

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Rabu, 08 Juli 2015

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Barnyard Dance! (Oversized Lap Edition) (Boynton on Board), by Sandra Boynton


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Barnyard Dance! (Oversized Lap Edition) (Boynton on Board), by Sandra Boynton

It’s classic Boynton, supersized! Barnyard Dance! is available as a lap-sized board book. With their appealing format and sturdy board construction, Boynton Lap Books are easy for little fingers to grasp, and are the perfect size for big people to read aloud during story time. The colorful illustrations positively pop on the large pages. Kids will twirl with the pig, spin with the chickens, and trot with the turkey in Barnyard Dance! Book Details:Format: HardcoverPublication Date: 10/12/2011Pages: 22

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Product details

Age Range: 1 - 4 years

Grade Level: Preschool and up

Lexile Measure: 400 (What's this?)

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Series: Boynton on Board

Board book: 22 pages

Publisher: Workman Publishing Company; Brdbk edition (October 12, 2011)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 0761166165

ISBN-13: 978-0761166160

Product Dimensions:

8.6 x 0.7 x 9.2 inches

Shipping Weight: 1 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

4.9 out of 5 stars

27 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#32,957 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

This is an absolutely lovely rhyming story. It was one of my favorites to read my children, and one of their very favorites to listen to. This book was a staple every night with my youngest daughter. I still have it memorized, and she's 19 now! I just purchased it as a gift for my sister in law who is having her first baby soon. Instead of cards, she requested that people gift her new daughter with their favorite children's book. This is one of the 4 that I got for her. Very fun and easy book to read, and just a very cute story.

We got the bigger book because we have other Sandra boynton books and they’re so cute we wanted them to keep her interested in longer. The little books are adorable but Sandra’s books are definite keepers.

My 2 1/2 yo son loves this book. Had to buy it after returning our first copy at the library. It’s an on your feet kind of read that gets him engaged

This book engages wee folk. If it doesn't bring a smile to your face and a desire to do si do then read it again.

Awesome

BARNYARD DANCE

Sandra Boynton is the best children's author I have found - cute pictures, rhymes & enough humor to keep an adult entertained on the 111th reading in the last 24 hours.

This is one of the best loved books in my grandson's collection of books. He is only 8 months old, but he loves to have me read this to him and he imitates the sounds of the aminals.

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Senin, 06 Juli 2015

Get Free Ebook , by Speedy Publishing LLC

Get Free Ebook , by Speedy Publishing LLC

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Product details

File Size: 15322 KB

Print Length: 50 pages

Publisher: Speedy Kids (December 3, 2014)

Publication Date: December 3, 2014

Sold by: Amazon Digital Services LLC

Language: English

ASIN: B00RQXRY4Y

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Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#796,813 Paid in Kindle Store (See Top 100 Paid in Kindle Store)

My 17 month old has recently taken an interest in anything to do with animals, so when I saw this book, I decided to give it a try so I could read/show it to him. Overall, I am pleased with the book especially given that right now, it's free.Pros:- It has 50 pages of mammals and mammal facts. The facts are short, but it's intended for children, so that's ok.- The pictures of mammals are close up shots. Some of the books i've been reading to my son show the animal at a distance, or with other animals. This book, however, shows each animal solely so your child can easily distinguish which animal it is. There are land-based mammals and sea-based mammals in this book, so I have an array of different mammals to show/teach my son.- It's a super easy read. If your kids are like my son, they're constantly throwing a book in your lap to read. I can zip through this book in about 4-5 minutes flat, getting it out of my son's blood for about an hour.Cons: (none. for the price, you really can't gripe about this book)To my 17 month old son, this book is awesome as he can see many different animals/mammals in a different light from his other animal books. I would recommend this book to any parent looking to entertain their child with something other than a television.

“Big Mammals of the World” is a 52 page book that will capture the attention of your animal loving child. It is packed full of beautiful colorful photographs. The book also contains approximately 20 interesting animal facts scattered between the stunningly vibrant pages in the book.The book is short and concise so that it will hold short attention spans very well. I would also like to add that this is not an easy reader for children though because there are a few tough words so parents will most likely have to actually read this aloud for their younger children. Although this book is technically recommended for children of all ages, as a teacher and a mother, I would probably recommend that this book is most suitable for approximate ages 4-10. As a mom and a teacher, this would also be a great book to have on a device in your classroom for children to be able to enjoy in a reading center.Every evening my son and I curl up on the couch and enjoy a book together, and lately he has been insistent on me reading from my phone. Thank goodness for inexpensive e-books!I purchased this product at a free or discounted price in exchange for my honest, unbiased opinion. My reviews are based on real, personal trial of the product. I rely on reviews before I buy, so I know how important they are when looking to get a good quality product worthy of your hard earned money. I am completely honest with my reviews because I want people to be able to purchase what they need or want with confidence. I have no connection to the seller. The free or discounted price did not influence my opinion in any way! If you liked my review and felt it helped you, please let me know by answering the question below and clicking the “Yes” button. Thanks!

I was very impressed with this book. I have a toddler and preschooler and like to find ebooks for them that have amazing pictures and a few interesting facts I can share. Often in this type of book I find that the text doesn't exactly match the picture. Usually the grammar is horrific and some sentences practically require translation. Not so with Big Mammals of the World. The pictures were amazing. The facts were relevant to the picture shown and I found it easy to discuss the picture in relation to them. They are also more in-depth than with most books, expanding my knowledge about some different mammals as well. I was also impressed with the variety of mammals included. In addition to elephants, rhinos, and gorillas, the book goes under the see to explain how whales are mammals as well. This is perhaps not a revelation to you or I, but having anything in common with a *whale* blew my 3.5 year old's mind. I highly recommend this book for both preschool children and younger gradeschoolers and plan to make sure I have it with me next time we go to the zoo so I can discuss more of the interesting facts with my children.I received this product free or at discount for my honest testing and review. I am under no obligation to provide a positive review and receive no incentives or rewards for doing so. My aim is to highlight features and drawbacks that I would want to know about as a buyer, not hype the product for the manufacturer. My remarks are sincere and my own. While it is true that many items are received at discounted rates or complimentary, my reviews are completely honest and are my personal experiences with the product. Again, it is just my opinion, your own opinion might vary. I received no monetary compensation and I am not required to give a good review.

I enjoy reading books like these to my child. This is a great learning tool offered as an ebook. The pictures are beautiful and fill the book with great facts to go along with each big mammals presented from around the world. Each page tells the information of a mammal in words a child can comprehend and enjoy. If you're looking for a great read on mammals from around the world, this ebook is a great choice!I received this ebook for free or a discounted price to offer my honest opinion concerning this ebook. My review is based on my personal trial of this ebook. I understand the importance of an honest review to help other consumers make an educated purchase. I hope you have found my review helpful.

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